2011 was a banner year in technology. As we look ahead to 2012, I can’ t help but think about Nostradamus or classic Mayan accounts of catastrophe and the coming of the apocalypse. But doomsday theories aside, what’s in store for technology in 2012?
Here is a roundup of some of the tech predictions for 2012.
Digital predictions for 2012
Product and Software
- CD and DVD based software and game sales will continue to decline as it is clearly all about digital app distribution via online app stores
- Apple will release a super slim edge-to-edge screen iPad 3, the long awaited iPhone 5 and an Apple TV.
- Amazon will introduce a completely redesigned Kindle Fire.
- Microsoft Windows 8 will arrive by the end of the year
- Voice recognition is going to be a big trend in 2012. The iPhone 4S’ Siri has brought voice recognition technology to a mainstream audience, and other manufacturers will be keen to capitalize on the buzz. Amy-Mae Elliott
- Smart phones will start to see quad core processors along with higher resolution displays, and more smart phones will start to see NFC chips. Mobile payments will start to become recognizable, and more people will understand what it is.
- The coming year will also see much more focus on redefining the TV experience as Apple releases a TV set, which will seamlessly integrate the Internet.
- Smart TVs and TV apps, for example Hulu or Netflix, will start to become more popular. – Keith Kaplan
- Motion gaming is sort of the ire of all hardcore gamers but in 2012 game companies will continue to push the limits of their gesture-based peripherals.
- Of course, mobile/social gaming and gamification will continue their steady plot to conquer the gaming world but expect big moves in motion gaming and motion-capture. – Zachary Sniderman
- Social media powerhouses like Facebook and Twitter will grow less in user acquisition and more in user engagement by implementing new features to keep users on the site longer. As Google+ continues to add more features, better integrate with other Google products and become more business-friendly, it will be a contender for best social network. – Meghan Peters
- Facebook and Twitter will continue their rapid growth, especially outside of the U.S. Inside the U.S., Google+ will break 100 million users and look significantly different than it does right now. – Lance Ulanoff
- In 2012, Amazon will secure its place as the digital hub in a good portion of U.S. households by buying Netflix. - Todd Wasserman
- RIM will announce a significant leadership change. It may also get acquired before the end of 2013. – Lance Ulanoff
Read the full story by Christine Erickson of mashable.com
Gadgets that will change the world in the next few years
2012 is the year of Windows Phone, 3D printing, and fitness technology.
- Autom and Fitbit – weight-loss systems like Autom and pedometers like FitBit are the future of fitness. You can’t change what you can’t measure, and these devices let you measure just about everything.
- Nokia Lumia 710 – Nokia is looking to take back the low end – the $50 Lumia 710 requires a two year contract, but the key number isn’t “2-year contract:” it’s $50.
- Makerbot – this small Brooklyn-based company is working on better ways to get 3D printing to the masses.
- Kindle Fire – the device is Amazon incarnate, an all singing, all dancing tablet for readers that will become, for many, the primary way to consume streaming video.
- PSP Vita – the next generation console to roll, inexorably, towards our living room.
Read the full story at www.techcrunch.com
Five tech predictions for 2012
1. Social media will lose its sizzle.
Social media usage has already begun to slow for upstarts such as FourSquare and stalwarts such as Facebook alike. Just as location-based applications became a “feature” rather than the “big thing,” social media will live on and become an integral part of what we do. The party’s over for investors and start-ups in this space. The big growth is behind us.
2. The bubble will pop for the current crop of tech IPOs.
LinkedIn and Zynga will probably lose more than half their value. Groupon will probably lose most of its value as well because of the inability of the company to actually make a real operating profit that doesn’t require odd accounting gyrations.
Facebook will be the IPO of the year — but likely at a lower valuation than is being speculated.
3. An explosion of the tablet market driven by sub-$100 tablets.
The Kindle Fire made waves with its $199 tablet, but we will probably see a new generation of Android-powered tablets that are priced at $100 or below. Once these devices get in the $100 range, carriers may subsidize them as a way to get customers to buy data plans — just like they have done for years with smartphones.
There are many new markets that will embrace these devices. And they enable a quantum leap for education systems, communications and information sharing in the developing world. India’s $35 tablet is already a reality.
4. Voice recognition goes mainstream.
With SIRI, Steve Jobs did his magic once again. SIRI is light-years better at handling complex requests than anything on a smartphone to date — and is getting better with each software update. Apple will embed this technology in new devices such as the Apple TV, in future versions of iPads and iMacs.
5. “Cloudburst” shakes the tech industry.
Cloud computing is advancing faster than our ability to secure systems. Companies are rapidly moving their most critical data and information from file cabinets and secured servers to shared servers on the Web. Cloud computing provides significant cost savings and operational advantages. But it also unleashes a Pandora’s box of security concerns.
One major security breach could throw cold water over the entire industry and slow down the corporate adoption that is expected to drive cloud growth this year and for many years to come.
Read the full article by Vivek Wadhwa on washingtonpost.com
2012 Tech predictions from IDG editors around the world
Simon Jary, publishing director, IDG U.K.
More blurring of the lines between laptops, tablets and smartphones, and between consumer and enterprise tech.
Maryfran Johnson, editor-in-chief, CIO Magazine and Events
Ever greater attention to big data and how companies can use analytics tools to mine the data for customer insights, business opportunities, or cost savings.
Bob Brown, online executive news editor, Network World
With Tim Cook in charge Apple explicitly goes for the enterprise market.
Fredrik Agrén, publishing director, IDG Sweden
We’re going to see a change of TV habits as the next big thing of 2012 will surely be the smart TV.
Brian Carlson, editor-in-chief, CIO.com
Apple loses its sheen. Its revenue will not go anywhere but up for the time being, but its status of bleeding-edge vendor will start to degrade in the hearts and minds of the educated tech consumer.
Daniel de Blas, director, IDG TechStyle, Macworld España, and iPhoneWorld
The total disappearance of optical discs like DVDs or Blu-ray and the decline of regular hard disks in favor of solid-state memory. We will see a great popularization of cloud services for consumers and applications that work with data that are not on the device.
Ken Mingis, managing editor for news, Computerworld
Managing mobile devices is going to be an increasingly important part of what IT deals with in 2012. It’s only a matter of time before some big-name company loses important corporate data because of failure to secure these personal devices.
Galen Gruman, executive editor, InfoWorld
Seismic shift in the makeup of the industry’s leaders – HP, Dell, Cisco, and certainly RIM greatly reduced in stature and importance. Apple will still provide the key inspiration for our collective future, but Microsoft will be the bigger driver of it actually happening in terms of volume and reach.
Jason Snell, editorial director, Macworld
More companies will attempt to do what Amazon.com has done and use Android as a basis for products but not involve Google.
Radan Dolejs, editor-in-chief, Computerworld Czech Republic
The most visible trend for the year 2012 will be mobility which will drive productivity in the enterprise. Price will be the key for the year 2012.
Matt Egan, editor, PC Advisor, IDG U.K.
Next year is all about Windows 8 – in the mobile and tablet space, we should have a three-way shootout among iOS, Android, and Windows.
Eric Knorr, editor-in-chief, InfoWorld
The private cloud is going to pick up momentum. IT is under enormous pressure to increase agility and effectiveness—by adopting technologies and techniques pioneered by public cloud service providers.
Elizabeth Heichler, editor-in-chief, IDG News Service
Many unresolved fights over intellectual property in the technology industry will play out in the coming year.
T.C. Seow, editor, CIO Asia
More powerful tablet devices will replace desktops and laptops for email, social computing, communications, and knowledge sharing.
Pedro Fonseca, editor-in-chief, and João Nóbrega, editor, Computerworld Portugal
BYOS (bring your own security). The security of devices and networks will be a great challenge next year.
Ed Albro, editor, PCWorld
Privacy finally comes to the forefront of our discussions of technology. The time seems ripe for the public to really start considering whether they’re comfortable with Mark Zuckerberg or Larry Page as Big Brother.
Antti Oksanen, publishing partner, Talentum
The rise of “the third ecosystem” in the mobile space – Microsoft and Nokia together may just be able to seize the opportunity with the new Windows Phone platform.
Read the full story on Macworld.com
Tags: technology 2012